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Risks are things outside of your control that might disrupt your project or plan. Assumptions are things that you believe without evidence; Assumptions are referred to as your biases.
Risks and Assumptions are identified by indicators and means of verification

Our Project aims at preventing STIs transmission in a culture that permits men’s concurrent sexual relationship. Part of my major input is the provision of contraceptives to married couples. At this level, the risk is that we may not be able to mobilize enough resources to procure adequate condoms needed for the project. As part of our outputs, our plan is to distribute the condoms to the target group. However, we fear that negative cultural and religious beliefs about condoms would dissuade many couples from accepting the product. Moreover, some of the community members might prefer traditional methods of family planning to modern ones. Furthermore, we expect a favourable outcome from the distribution process especially in terms of usage, and prevention of STIs transmission among couples. Yet, we are not sure if the beneficiaries are going to use them as the occasion demands. Again, even if they use them, are we confident that the product would not malfunction in terms of bursting open without users’ knowledge. Overall, the impact we want to create is zero transmission rate of STIs among couples. However, the beneficiaries might want to continue childbearing thereby encouraging unprotected sex. Moreover, couple could also engage in oral sex and, where one has dental soreness, transmission risk could be heightened.

In as much as we want to focus on the expected impacts of our project, it equally important to have an analysis of factors that could pose as threats to our intended objectives. By so doing, we can plan on how to deal with them before hand.

New risks are usually identified during monitoring process not during evaluation. The process of evaluation is basically to assess what monitoring activities have covered in the course of the project. It does not seek to add new thing or identify new risk to an ongoing project, but to ascertain the extent to which various processes have contributed towards a defined objective.

Risks and Assumptions on an ongoing project am taking part in. This project Accelerating Nutrition Results in Nigeria (ANRiN) is a World bank project that focuses on pregnant women, lactating women, caregivers of children leas than 5 years and under 5 years old children
IMPACT'S RISKS AND ASSUMPTION is High death rate due to few beneficiaries given the intervention.
Outcome's Risks and Assumptions: Targets are not met because of high rate of non-compliance, refusal etc
Output's Risk and Assumption: Qualified Community health workers (CHWs) are not resident in the assigned wards and have to travel a long distance which hindered their productivity.
Secondly, interventions are given to the wrong beneficiaries.
Thirdly, The CHWs were not adequately trained
Input's Risk and Assumption: Recruited fewer CHWs than expected to carry out the tasks.
Secondly, the recruitment process were based on sentiments which affected the quality of CHWs hired

Risks and assumptions module is very interesting - It was useful to address assumptions and potential pitfalls of the project.

لكل مشروع مخاطر وافتراضات ولتجنب هذه المخاطر اولا التوكل على الله بكل امر .ولاكن لابد من وظع شيئ بالحسبان مثل استشارات ذوي الخبره التوقعات بالخير داىما .وكن مستعدا لاي مخاطر تواجهك .بدراسه وتنبئ

Indicator and verification are very main part from any project design in the log frame simply because indicator show all supportive condition for our project succeed but under shadow point of verification of access how those condition that might favor our project meets our project goals

Risk and assumption gives a huge mental questioning of the project future performance simpl because when a project conductor decide to dig in on risk and assumption he or she will automatically knew how to shape out a project and know future project image on the community

Risks and assumptions are problems that could arise in the process of achieving your project's goals. The best means to measure this is by asking logical questions about each stage of your logframe starting from the inputs to the outputs to the outcomes and the impacts. Can the activities of inputs truly lead to outputs? Can that of the outputs really influence the outcomes, is there a logical gap between the outcomes and the impacts that needs to be fixed?
Risks and assumptions are far better ways of executing a project's plans effectively.
Also, by using the 'if/then' statements, we can determine if there is a great logical flow between these elements or a logical bridge that needs to be fixed.

Yeah. This is because there are risks and assumptions in everything we do! Risks and Assumptions are those problems that hinder the success of your project. While Risks are those things that are not in your control and that can disrupt your project's activities from attaining the project's objectives. Assumptions are your mere biases. These are things you believe in but are not proven or do not have evidences.
Now drafting a project's design is one thing, identifying the risks and Assumptions that may associated with the project's activities and impacts is another important thing. This is why it's pertinent to identify the risks and Assumptions that may come up in the process of achieving a project's objectives and addressing these risks and Assumptions.

How do you measure risks and Assumptions?
The first thing that comes to mind is the logical flow. Is there a great logical flow between the elements that makes up a project's activities, outcomes and impacts or otherwise a logical bridge or gap that needs to be fixed ?
This is when the 'if/then' statements comes in handy. Using these statements help to measure or determine if the logical flow of a project's logframe is effective or not, if there's a logical gap that needs to be addressed and how to effectively address these gaps.
Risks and assumptions is one thing that can't be neglected in achieving an effective project's objectives because it's significant to be implored in every phase of the project.

For a successful project, one has to keenly look into the risks and assumptions that might affect the project and come up with ways to overcome those risks and assumptions.

The money set aside for microloans might not be enough for the girls.
The girls might misuse the microloans.
The girls might start businesses that aren't worth it/unprofitable.

Hi.everyone

Risk and assumptions is were doubting the outcome of the business. for instance the girls business might not be successful.
The girls might not know to start the business or upgrade the their business.

I understand through this module that risks and assumptions are a thoughtful way of highlighting a project's pitfalls.
The identified risks can actually help towards better planning by ensuring that minute details that were not covered during the input and planning stages are considered.

Risk and assumptions are a major consideration during the project logframe. Risk are potential intrusions towards our project outcomes and goals. Assumptions are the biases we have that might affect our projects. Identifying risks and assumptions will prepare our team better to develop alternative approaches to our goal.

Anza Mapema Project might be having risks such as:
1.poor hygiene leading to the spread of illnesses between the staffs and the clients if not well recognized,
2.misuse of funds that make the project fall abruptly due to oppressed laws amended in the project before.
3.the short and unsupported confidentialities of the staff might create chaos from the clients to the workers, non-acceptance of clients to the Anza Mapema project and many more.
4.Disunity between staff and the clients might arise rapidly since such participants were not recognized and then oppressed rather than accepted as a usual living being.
Some of the assumptions in the Anza Mapema Projects are like:
1.In the data department, anyone skilled of a statistical package is willing to volunteer so as to teach or tutor other on them for a desired and proper knowledge as life continues.
2.Any mistake found in the Anza Mapema Project can be submitted in the debriefing meeting so as to enhance the reduced rate of problems proclaimed.

Risks and assumptions are to be minimize in a project for a better output,impact and outcome

To what consequential dimension (value) should I consider the risk of assumption during planning or analysis,

As far as my understanding is concerned, I now consider the pre-indentification of the risks that can occur during the implementation of the project and obviously the assumptions must be generated beforehand to achieve maximum results. By doing so, even during the implementation, one can also work on mitigating the possible risks.

in the process of monitoring and one realizes that there are risks that have impacted on the project, i think the next activity should be risk mitigation and management, however, why is it not part of the log frame, especially the possible identifiable risks?

Risk and assumptions that might occur include girls might use money for there neccesary need
business changes that include floactuatin of prince and availability of more loans

It is absolutely important that risks and assumptions are thoroughly identified to avoid issues that might lead to the failure of the project.

First of all I am really admired how the course is organized, prepared and delivered. Apart from that in terms of risks and assumptions, are there some common risks and assumptions or each project has its own circumstances?

I now have a better understanding of assumptions and risk. Thus, In other words:
The assumptions describe the situations, events, conditions or decisions which are necessary for the success of the project, but which are largely or completely beyond the control of the project's management.

Risks are events that may have a negative impact on the project.

Risks and assumptions are the actions of which we are not sure but which we hope

I am learning a lot on M & E

I have come to understand that identifying risks and assumptions before one begins any project or even during the project design phase is really really important for a successful project; since one will be able to foresee things that may hinder effective project implementation during the implementation phase.

Also, i have now come to know that identifying risks and assumptions is crucial before any project starts off since it plays really a great role in all our projects and could be the reason behind why some projects fail and why others succeed.

Risk and assumptions are the unforeseen circumstances that may end up affecting project implementation.

Risks are the things outside of your control that might disrupt your plan. Assumptions are your biases, things you believe without evidence. It is imperative to find the risks and assumptions before the project starts.

Is it true that the risk is not only a negative risk but also a positive risk?

The topic gave me an indepth understanding on Inputs, outputs, outcomes, risks and assumptions and means of verifications.

How risk can affect project?

A very interesting module in which we are able to question the effectivity of every link.

Thank You so much for the wonder topic which not only guided me about the Risk and Assumption but has given me knowledge and command on how better to design my project keeping the risk in my plan which I might be facing during the project and doing assumption to meet the challenges that I will be facing.

How better Risks and assumptions be planned to cover the challenges of the project during the implementation phases?

What are assumptions in risk assessment?
There are numerous qualitative assumptions in a risk assessment; for example, related to system boundaries, to what consequence dimensions (values) to consider in the analysis, to how a particular consequence should be measured/operationalised, and whether future trend should be included or not

The assumptions describe the situations, events, conditions or decisions which are necessary for the success of the project, but which are largely or completely beyond the control of the project's management.

Risks are events that may have a negative impact on the project.

I believe every project must at least have an obvious risk that will come out clearly with less effort needed to think or list them

Have not been that aware of the importance of making a risks and Assumptions time in the logframe but i see it very important because its will allow quick decision making and not being fully blind and right .

How do we work with risk a d assumption in M& E..

Whether we like it or not its necessary to apply risk and assumptions in M&E

You are right risk and assumptions help a lot in delivering results in M&E

things that may cause the project to fail

In this section I have learned that risks are the thinks that are out of your control and can disrupt your project while assumptions are things that you believe about your project.
in concluding, it is very important to identified risks and assumptions before the project starts so that you can create powerful way to avoid them.

A better project design should be linked to its M&E Plan

Risk and assumptions help in tackling future obstacles that might occur. It aids in decision making .

This is a great and useful topic so far. We are reminded that in all projects, risks and assumptions are always needed to be considered.

I agree, at least those things have to be considered so they don't come as a surprise.

Risk must have evidence but assumption don't proved by evidence

Yes it's better to identify at the beginning but to be aware with new risks ahead

A better way for project success is to be able to identify risk early in each process

In this context, a risk is defined as an uncertain threat that, in case of occurring, could have a negative impact in the completion of the Goal or Activity. An assumption, on the other side, is the necessary condition that will enable the successful completion of the Goal or Activity.

This course has been very helpful for me in formulating my indicators and other tools such as targets and how the indicators can be measured.

Hello everybody How is course going?

l/Budget pour pepiniere en bouteilles.xlsx

risks and assumptions are activities that lead to disruption of a project.Before a starts its important to analyse the risks that one may undergo during the implementation of the project.Looking at the risks and assumptions enable us to understand the events and conditions that are unforeseeable .

What is the risks you undentified are out of control?

Targets are a commitment to reach certain results.

Planning for Monitoring and Evaluation for good

Risks inform the project implementors of possible challenges that may hinder the success of a funded project. Awareness of possible risks help project managers adjust their plans. Involving targeted population gives a guide to what works and what will not work. Assumptions may lead to loss and failure of a project. For example, assuming that women may benefit from a project without getting their input or carrying out a need assessment may result in a failure of a project.

Very helpful insights you guys are giving here

Risks inform the project implementors of possible challenges that may hinder the success of a funded project. Awareness of possible risks help project managers adjust their plans. Involving targeted population gives a guide to what works and what will not work. Assumptions may lead to loss and failure of a project. For example, assuming that women may benefit from a project without getting their input or carrying out a need assessment may result in a failure of a project.

participant involvement has several benefits such as buy in of the project by the targeted population, saving time and money. Implementors concentrate on ventures they know will be profitable to the intended population target. So yes, avoiding assumptions through member involvement is very important. Involvement of beneficiaries and taking cognizance of their views is very helpful in achieving goals.

participant involvement has several benefits such as buy in of the project by the targeted population, saving time and money. Implementors concentrate on ventures they know will be profitable to the intended population target. So yes, avoiding assumptions through member involvement is very important. Involvement of beneficiaries and taking cognisance of their views is very helpful in achieving goals.

You have summed it all. Misuse of funds create mistrust and delays in bringing the change we want to witness in our communities. Lack of participants and stakeholders' involvement derails progress, while assumption is the worst enemy to any development leading to waste of resources and projects that never take off as intended beneficiaries act as spectators.

Are enough inputs being provided?
Yes

How well do your inputs lead to your outputs?
All resources may be available, but the inputs may not guarantee girls' interest in receiving training.

How well do your outputs lead to outcomes?
The use of reusable sanitary pads, coupled with liquid soap for washing will help girls attend school during and after experiencing menstrual cycle.

Are any of the risks or assumptions that you identified hurting your project?
Yes, especially discouragement of girls by family and culture.

Do your inputs produce enough outputs and outcomes?
Not really as there are circumstances beyond the control of the project. For example, the interest of girls on engaging in production of reusable sanitary pads and liquid soap after receiving training.

How well did your project create impact?
More than half (57%) of the target beneficiaries (girls) have remained in school while using reusable sanitary pads. This is an improvement compared to only 39% indicated by baseline.

Did any risks or assumptions hurt this project?
Yes, particularly family and culture.

Were there any unexpected risks or assumptions?
Yes, especially the resistance of cultural leaders to girls recieving training.

Risk is an unexpected outcome that can affect the project,it can be an event that is beyond our control that can negatively impact the project,while Assumptions are our personal beliefs or biases that we have imbibed over the years

Risk is an unexpected outcome that can affect the project,it can be an event that is beyond our control that can negatively impact the project,while Assumptions are our personal beliefs or biases that we have imbibed over the years

I have learnt that risk and assumption helps us to be able to prepare adequately when coming up with a project so that we can deal with the shortcomings adequately rather than get surprised when they occur.

Before starting module 2, I had a little idea on logic framework for M&E, that was cause I read up some materials, but what I never came across was "Risk and Assumptions" and this has given me a good level of insight. Identifying Risk and Assumptions are very important in every M&E logic framework cause it will help me eliminate bias and consider certain factors which I might ignore while creating and M&E logic frame work.

Unrealistic targets, are targets that are not feasible. It is important to ensure a project's indicator or indicators are realistic, that was it is achievable. Realistic targets would prove to donors how much work a team is set to achieve if resources are made available.

What is the importance of assessing the risks and assumptions of a project?

Risks and Assumptions are those processes that might hurt a project or lead a project to fail when not considered.
Although there is a difference between an assumtion and a risk.
An assumtion can be considered as anything without no real proof of existence, but a risk is any situation or matter that can lead to a failure.
For example, we decided to cook on a fire in a bush, the risk could be that ourfire leads to a real burning the place. It is supported by an evidence bush and fire makes fire.
Those two topics help us to make the project real .

I have learnt that risk and assumption helps us to be able to prepare adequately when coming up with a project so that we can deal with the shortcomings adequately rather than get surprised when they occur.

Risks and assumptions are ways to know what barriers you stand to fave and what kinda of conclusions you've drawn that could potentially affect the progress of the project. The presence of these on the log frame is for you to make changes in your project design so that they cannot affect the progress of the project or to mitigate the effects of the risks and assumptions

Identifying risks and assumptions during M&E planning is very vital as it helps in identifying gaps which would otherwise affect the projects success.
During this module, i have come to realize that however much one looks at the impacts, outcomes, inputs and outputs, one should never forget to also high light the possible risks and assumptions

The assumptions describe the situations, events, conditions or decisions which are necessary for the success of the project, but which are largely or completely beyond the control of the project's management.

How will I design a project?
What are the steps I can use?

Risks and Assumptions should be part of the project design so as to inform us on what can go wrong.

Risks and assumptions are the keys to avoid problems during the project. We should indicate them before starting the project by asking ourselves about all things that might disrupt our plan.

Identifying and dealing with risks and assumptions before and during project design phase is a factor in successfully implementing a project

risks and assumptions are different things, example assumptions are the unrealistic view which you can.t approve it may occur while risks are situations while will your project may face by figuring some evidence opposing to your project and preparing solution you will use to tackle it.

risks are the things out of my control that might disrupt my plan. Assumptions are my biases.

The key thing to remember is that the same statement might be an assumption or a risk depending on the circumstances of your particular project. In fact, assumptions can be simply viewed as low-level risks.

Identifying the risk and assumptions in every stage of your project summary.

The risk we might face is having Lost to Follow up(LTFU) for those who are on ART drugs and also no willingness to continue the medication

Risks are things outside your control that might disrupt your plan and therefore affect your project.
Risks can be identified by making assumptions on some of the factors that could possibly hinder the project from progressing.
Planing for risks and assumptions helps to identify and understand events and conditions that are unforeseeable. Such events might affect the implementation of your project.

The risk we might face is having Lost to Follow up(LTFU) for those who are on ART drugs and also no willingness to continue the medication

The risk we might face is having Lost to Follow up(LTFU) for those who are on ART drugs and also no willingness to continue the medication

Yes it is important to know all the risks

En el proyecto, uno de los riesgos es la ausencia del personal a trabajar cuyo impacto sería el retraso en la entrega del proyecto, una de las suposiciones es que el personal se encuentra poco comprometido con su trabajo.

Risks and Assumptions

Risks and Assumptions should be applied to all stages of project design phases. In fact, we can avoid the project being disrupted during the design phase by asking what are the risks and assumptions that may occur?

at the beginning of project you have to avoid any risk that will be facing your project and you make research to prevent risks and take in to the account external factors can become .

Maybe we found so many risks and assumptions in our project, my question is how to choose the main risk from the lists?

Risk management is a central part of any organization or project. Its focus is the
assessment of significant risks and the implementation of suitable responses in a
continuous process; “it increases the probability of success and reduces both the
probability of failure and the level of uncertainty associated with achieving the
objectives of the organization [or project].

Assumptions are the unproven connections
between levels in a design hierarchy, theory of
change, or the project context.

Do all projects need to have positive effect and a large scale impacts.

This is great, keep up.