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  • Sure, Risks are out of our control. But if we are able to foresee at the certain level, we will be able to manage when it occurs. So proper and clear planning is important to prepare risks and assumption that would affect the project impact.

  • Yes, it helps us to handle the worst case. It can be planned with the core program directors/ managers. Risks may or may not occur. But we can assume and have plans to resolve those.

  • Risk and assumption is very tactical in the M&E

  • Risks and assumptions are external factors over which the project has little control, but which may impact project activities and results.

    Project Assumptions Examples
    1.You will get all the resources you need.
    2.During the rainy season, cheap labor will be available.
    3.All relevant stakeholders will come to the next meeting.
    4.Your team members have all the required skills.
    5.All equipment is in good condition.
    6.The supplier will deliver consumables on time.

  • Discussion Risk Assumptions are external factors for which the intervention is not responsible but that are very important for the realisation of reaults the project overal objective
    Risk need to be managed daily especially relating to financial controls and intregrity, planning equipment to ensure minimal risk or loss .
    Risk and assumptions adds value to an organisation and helps the organisation succeeds rather than fail its all about what might happen it helt them take the right risk considering both up and down to achieving the organisation goal the assumption is made when you state what you think might happen what should be done with assumptions is monitor them .

  • Risk and Assumptions make the project more do able for me, because it show you how much chances the project is likely to succeed and fail.
    I think if the Risks involved in the project are probably calculated and manage it will determine a certain percentage of the project success.

  • For projects design, risks are the things or situations that are likely to disrupt your project plan and are out of your control.
    On the other hand, assumptions are the things we believe to be true or valid, without necessary proof or evidence.

  • In our project, the assumption is that all the beneficiaries are unemployed, so if we give training and make them skilled manpower then their income will be increased. But during monitoring we found that even they get job after training they do not want to continue due to hot climate. The risk is they are skilled but unemployed.

  • The assumptions describe the situations, events, conditions or decisions necessary for the project's success, but which are largely or completely beyond the control of the project's management. Risks are events that may have a negative impact on the project.

  • When implementing a project like "Enhancing Education Opportunities for Disadvantaged Youth," it's important to consider potential risks and assumptions that might arise. Here are some common risks and assumptions to be mindful of:

    Risks:

    Funding Shortfalls: There is a risk of not securing sufficient funding to support the project's activities, potentially leading to scaled-down operations or an inability to achieve the intended outcomes.
    Stakeholder Resistance: Resistance or lack of support from stakeholders, such as community members, parents, or local authorities, could hinder project implementation and community engagement efforts.
    Political and Social Instability: Political instability, social unrest, or conflicts in the target region may disrupt project activities and impact the safety and well-being of project participants and staff.
    Limited Community Engagement: Inadequate community engagement and participation can undermine the sustainability and effectiveness of the project, as it relies on the active involvement and support of community members.
    Inadequate Infrastructure: Insufficient or inadequate educational infrastructure, such as classrooms, sanitation facilities, or technology, may pose challenges to providing quality education and limit the impact of the project.
    Inequality and Discrimination: Deep-rooted social inequalities and discrimination based on gender, ethnicity, or socioeconomic status may affect the equitable implementation of the project and hinder access to education for the most marginalized groups.
    Assumptions:

    Availability of Resources: The project assumes the availability of resources such as qualified teachers, training facilities, learning materials, and technology to effectively deliver quality education to disadvantaged youth.
    Supportive Policy Environment: The project assumes a supportive policy environment that promotes equitable access to education and provides necessary support for initiatives targeting disadvantaged youth.
    Willingness to Participate: The project assumes the willingness of beneficiaries to participate in educational programs, engage with the project activities, and commit to their own educational development.
    Local Partnerships: The project assumes the ability to establish and maintain strong partnerships with local organizations, educational institutions, and community leaders to leverage their expertise and resources.
    Impact on Academic Performance: The project assumes that the implemented interventions will positively impact the academic performance and learning outcomes of disadvantaged youth.
    It is important to recognize and mitigate these risks through proper risk management strategies, contingency planning, stakeholder engagement, and continuous monitoring and evaluation. Assumptions should be validated through research, needs assessments, and ongoing data collection to ensure they are accurate and align with the realities on the ground.

  • When implementing a project like "Enhancing Education Opportunities for Disadvantaged Youth," it's important to consider potential risks and assumptions that might arise. Here are some common risks and assumptions to be mindful of:

    Risks:

    Funding Shortfalls: There is a risk of not securing sufficient funding to support the project's activities, potentially leading to scaled-down operations or an inability to achieve the intended outcomes.
    Stakeholder Resistance: Resistance or lack of support from stakeholders, such as community members, parents, or local authorities, could hinder project implementation and community engagement efforts.
    Political and Social Instability: Political instability, social unrest, or conflicts in the target region may disrupt project activities and impact the safety and well-being of project participants and staff.
    Limited Community Engagement: Inadequate community engagement and participation can undermine the sustainability and effectiveness of the project, as it relies on the active involvement and support of community members.
    Inadequate Infrastructure: Insufficient or inadequate educational infrastructure, such as classrooms, sanitation facilities, or technology, may pose challenges to providing quality education and limit the impact of the project.
    Inequality and Discrimination: Deep-rooted social inequalities and discrimination based on gender, ethnicity, or socioeconomic status may affect the equitable implementation of the project and hinder access to education for the most marginalized groups.
    Assumptions:

    Availability of Resources: The project assumes the availability of resources such as qualified teachers, training facilities, learning materials, and technology to effectively deliver quality education to disadvantaged youth.
    Supportive Policy Environment: The project assumes a supportive policy environment that promotes equitable access to education and provides necessary support for initiatives targeting disadvantaged youth.
    Willingness to Participate: The project assumes the willingness of beneficiaries to participate in educational programs, engage with the project activities, and commit to their own educational development.
    Local Partnerships: The project assumes the ability to establish and maintain strong partnerships with local organizations, educational institutions, and community leaders to leverage their expertise and resources.
    Impact on Academic Performance: The project assumes that the implemented interventions will positively impact the academic performance and learning outcomes of disadvantaged youth.
    It is important to recognize and mitigate these risks through proper risk management strategies, contingency planning, stakeholder engagement, and continuous monitoring and evaluation. Assumptions should be validated through research, needs assessments, and ongoing data collection to ensure they are accurate and align with the realities on the ground.

  • Defining the Risks and Assumptions is important because it helps to;
    i) Understand unforeseeable events in which corrective decisions can be made.
    ii) Draw learning from previous projects that had the same assumptions.
    iii) Interact with beneficiaries to understand how the curb the risks.
    iv) Explain the expected challenges during the reporting of the results of the project.

  • Understanding risk and Assumption in a project is important. We can plan activities considering how to mitigate risks associated to the project including those beyond our sphere of influence. This module has made justice to that aspect.

  • The assumptions describe the situations, events, conditions or decisions necessary for the project's success, but which are largely or completely beyond the control of the project's management. Risks are events that may have a negative impact on the project.

  • Understanding risk and Assumption in a project is important. We can plan activities considering how to mitigate risks associated to the project including those beyond our sphere of influence. This module has made justice to that aspect.

  • hy it is important to plan for risks and assumptions ahead of time is so that
    you can understand events and conditions that are unforeseeable
    that might affect your implementation, therefore giving you enough time to make
    decisions at the right time.
    We tested for our assumptions and risks within our
    logframe by looking at our past events and seeing out of those activities we
    had implemented some of the common assumptions and risks.
    Then we go
    through our beneficiaries and ask them what would be some of the assumptions
    that we had put along whether they fitted and finally we looked at the list
    of activities that we did and listed some of our assumptions.
    A common

  • Risks and assumptions play a critical role in project planning and implementation. They help identify potential challenges, uncertainties, and factors that may hinder the achievement of desired outcomes and impacts. By acknowledging and addressing these risks and assumptions, organizations can develop strategies to mitigate them and increase the chances of project success.

    In the context of MEH's project to increase the financial prosperity of girls in their province, several risks and assumptions have been identified. Let's discuss them in more detail:

    Girls might not want to start or upgrade businesses:
    This risk acknowledges the possibility that some girls may not have the interest or motivation to start or upgrade businesses, even if they receive microloans. It is important to consider factors such as personal aspirations, cultural norms, or individual circumstances that may influence their willingness to engage in entrepreneurial activities. MEH should assess the level of interest and commitment among the target group and consider strategies to address any potential lack of interest.

    Girls might be discouraged from starting or upgrading businesses by their family or culture:
    This assumption recognizes the potential influence of family dynamics and cultural norms on the girls' decision to start or upgrade businesses. It is important to consider the support systems and potential barriers within the girls' social environment. MEH should engage with families, community leaders, and influencers to foster understanding, support, and acceptance of girls' entrepreneurial endeavors. This can help mitigate any cultural or social resistance that may discourage girls from pursuing business opportunities.

    Girls might not know how to start or upgrade businesses:
    This assumption highlights the potential knowledge and skill gaps among girls in starting or upgrading businesses. Lack of entrepreneurial knowledge, business planning skills, or access to resources and networks can hinder their ability to establish and grow successful businesses. MEH should provide comprehensive training and capacity-building programs to equip girls with the necessary skills, knowledge, and support to effectively manage their businesses. This can include entrepreneurship training, mentorship programs, and access to business development resources.

    By recognizing and addressing these risks and assumptions, MEH can enhance the effectiveness and sustainability of their project. They can develop targeted interventions, tailor training programs, and collaborate with relevant stakeholders to ensure that the girls have the necessary support and resources to overcome potential challenges and achieve the desired outcomes and impacts. Regular monitoring, evaluation, and adaptive management strategies can also help identify and address emerging risks throughout the project lifecycle

  • continuous analysis is required to capture all risks and assumptions to avoid any surprises along the way of the project implementation

  • should we find all the possible hypotheses or just the most important ones ?
    With the advancement of technology, what is the place of digital technology in data collection today?

  • It’s good to identfiy risks and assumption and plan for them ahead of time, so as to ensure your project run smoothly.

  • Riscos financeiros: Um dos principais riscos é a falta de recursos financeiros suficientes para implementar e sustentar o projeto. Dependendo de doações e financiamentos externos pode tornar a organização vulnerável a flutuações na disponibilidade de fundos. É importante ter um plano de captação de recursos diversificado e sustentável para mitigar esse risco.

    Riscos operacionais: Há riscos relacionados à execução do projeto, como problemas com a gestão dos recursos humanos, dificuldades logísticas, falta de capacidade técnica ou infraestrutura inadequada. É fundamental garantir uma gestão eficiente e eficaz do projeto, com processos claros e uma equipe capacitada para lidar com os desafios operacionais.

    Riscos de parceria: Dependendo de parcerias estratégicas para o sucesso do projeto, pode haver riscos associados a problemas de colaboração, divergências de interesses ou até mesmo a rescisão de parcerias. É importante estabelecer acordos claros, definir expectativas e garantir uma comunicação aberta e constante com as partes envolvidas.

    Riscos de sustentabilidade: Um risco significativo é a capacidade do projeto de se tornar sustentável a longo prazo, tanto financeiramente quanto em termos de impacto. É necessário considerar estratégias de geração de renda, parcerias duradouras e envolvimento da comunidade para garantir a continuidade e a relevância do projeto no futuro.

    Suposições sobre as necessidades dos jovens: O projeto parte da suposição de que suas atividades e abordagens são adequadas e eficazes para atender às necessidades dos jovens atendidos. No entanto, é importante estar aberto a feedbacks, avaliações e ajustes ao longo do caminho para garantir que as intervenções sejam adaptadas e responsivas às necessidades reais dos beneficiários.

    Riscos de resistência ou falta de engajamento: Pode haver resistência ou falta de engajamento por parte dos jovens, suas famílias ou da comunidade em relação ao projeto. É necessário desenvolver estratégias de comunicação eficazes, estabelecer relações de confiança e garantir a participação ativa e inclusiva dos beneficiários desde o início.

  • To have skills on logical framework during project planning, project implementation and monitoring and evaluation are the most important in project management.

  • Assumptions are the conditions or events that you expect or hope to happen for your project to achieve its objectives. They are usually based on your theory of change, or the causal logic that links your inputs, activities, outputs, outcomes and impact. For example, an assumption for a health education project may be that the target population has access to and trusts the information sources you use. Risks are the potential threats or challenges that may prevent or hinder your project from achieving its objectives. They are usually external factors that are beyond your control, such as political instability, natural disasters, or cultural resistance. For example, a risk for a health education project may be that the target population faces violence or intimidation from opposing groups.

  • Risks and assumptions are the uncertainty about a propose project that the manager or M&E person is ready to take for get a desired outcome of an event, this can also be described as huddles or challenges that may occur during executing a project and measure put in place to mitigate those challenges.

    Unrealistic targets are targets which may seem impossible to achieve within the targeted time frame for the project. Unrealistic targets may seem too ambitious and nearly impossible to achieve within the time frame set to achieve the task.

  • I know before starting a project it’s important to define the risk and the assumption

  • Not enough funds from donors is a risk and assumption to inpurts

    M
    1 Reply
  • Not enough funds from donors is a risk and assumption to inpurts

  • Excellent module

  • I believe risk and assumptions are critical to a successful project. a critical look and rectification of certain risks and assumptions which might delay the success of the project is most relevant.

  • To identify risk and assumptions depend on the type of project.

  • WONDERFUL TOPIC SO FAR

  • Risks and assumptions in a project are unforeseen circumstances that could hinder the organisation from achieving its objectives or project plans. In the beginning and during design phase of the project risks and assumption should be monitored to determine if this risk are materialing or not and how they can be mitigated during the project

  • Risks are the things outside of our control that might disrupt our plans. A risk is an assumption with a higher level of failure. It is an event that could happen with a notable probability and could affect the outcome of your project substantially. You have to take risks into account when planning your project as they might change the entire setup if the event actually occurs. They might even end your entire project if they occur. Here an example of risks:

    • The pattern of rain will change in the near future.

    Assumptions are our biases, the things that we believe without much evidence. An assumption is a statement that you assume to be true. Without assuming certain things planning would be impossible, as we never know for certain how the future will look like. We have to assume our government keeps working, our organization will keep existing and the weather will follow its usual pattern. Sometimes we look at these things as if they were facts, but in reality, they are just assumptions, as we cannot be 100% sure. Here is an example of assumptions:

    • The pattern of rain will not change in the near future
  • Risks might appear in a variety of ways during monitoring and evaluation. For instance, a risk might result from insufficient data gathering techniques, such as faulty or incomplete data sources, which could result in erroneous findings and false conclusions. Insufficient stakeholder involvement, when important players are not actively participating or committed, might pose another danger. This could restrict the buy-in and application of evaluation conclusions. Furthermore, risks may result from outside variables like political unrest or natural catastrophes, which might obstruct the execution of monitoring and evaluation tasks.

    On the other side, assumptions may consist of elements like the availability of crucial resources, like money, personnel, or technology, to assist the monitoring and assessment process. The assumption of cooperation and collaboration among various stakeholders, such as governmental bodies, non-governmental organizations, or members of the community, is another example of an assumption. Assuming, for instance, that all parties involved would transparently and promptly exchange pertinent data or that program beneficiaries will actively engage in data gathering efforts. Monitoring and evaluation practitioners may increase the dependability, validity, and utility of their conclusions and recommendations by recognizing and addressing these risks and assumptions. In my practice, I have experienced all this.

  • no bias in this column

  • Risks are things that are out o our control that disrupt our plan to implement.
    Assumption are believe that we have toward our project /plan do not supported by strong evidence .

    1 Reply
  • no bias in this colum

  • There is always a certainty of risk and assumption no matter how well you plan your project.

  • need to review or revise every year

  • need to review or revise every year

  • Data Management Flow

  • Risks and assumptions are a vital part of project planning. Such unforeseen occurrences can derail a project a affect the achievement of results. It therefore makes sense to anticipate them in the planning process. This will enable implementers to deal with them if they arise during the implementation process. I will also afford the opportunity to learn and improve the implementation strategy when the project is going to be replicated.

  • Risks are things that are out o our control that disrupt our plan to implement.
    Assumption are believe that we have toward our project /plan do not supported by strong evidence .

  • Risks and assumptions seems to be a very tricky part that can easily be overlooked.

  • When you design a project, it is important to find the risks and assumptions before the project starts. This helps an organization to prepare for potential challenges in meeting the program goals as well as determining if a program redesign would be beneficial. This imply that risk identification and assumptions are an essential parts of any successful business strategy. It allows you to identify potential threats before they cause damage and helps you make sound decisions based on accurate information.

    R
    1 Reply
  • Risks and Assumptions of our project include:

    1. Will the course outcome of a project proposal for an innovation be enough to catalyze implementation of organizational/sustainable changes in practices?
    2. Will the nurses have enough resources (time, support, equipment) to implement their proposals?
    3. Are there opportunities to demonstrate leadership, management, and collaboration in their workplace?
    4. What are the unforeseen barriers for nursing leadership in public health apart from lack of measure of skills for uhc and absence of clear career pathway?
  • The largest risk and assumption in our project is that the training would easily translate to demonstration in the workplace. The assumption that all nurses have the opportunity to apply frameworks and managerial skills is too ideal. It must be part of the baseline assessment. What are their normal deliverables? Other than that, the nurses have no security of tenure hence their skill from training might be wasted if they lose their positions due to budget cut-offs/etc.

  • I do not see a question prompt to adequately reply to the discussion board.

  • The risks and assumptions in a Logframe allows project managers to take a proactive approach to project planning and implementation. By addressing potential risks and dependencies from the outset, project managers can develop contingency plans, allocate resources more effectively, and improve the project's chances of success. Additionally, regularly reviewing and updating the risks and assumptions throughout the project's lifecycle ensures that the project remains adaptable to changing circumstances and reduces the likelihood of unexpected setbacks.

  • That's right , I agree with you @Said25, evaluate the sisks is really important before start a project.

  • Hey guys , how is it going in your side ?

    M
    1 Reply
  • risk and assumption are the most important part of the logfram

  • Risks and Assumption
    Risks is the uncertainty that a certain thing will occur, in my project of bringing gym to the people of Luwingu there is uncertainty that a lot will come to the edge and support.
    In my research people are interested to improve their health.
    Now what if I bring gym and no one shows up

  • Risks and assumptions play an important role in outlining the circumstances that might lead to disruption of project process. The risks include all factors that can affect any phase of the project implementation. These issues is clearly outlined from all aspects of consideration such as political, economical and social aspects.

  • Anticipating risks and assumptions in advance is essential to be ready for unforeseen events that could affect the project. This proactive approach enables prompt decision-making when confronted with difficulties.

    To facilitate the learning process during implementation, it is crucial to establish a dependable method for gathering feedback on challenges directly from project beneficiaries.

    Upon gathering these challenges, adjustments can be made to the work plan and targets, allowing for effective solutions to be incorporated.

  • It's a very interesting topic and I have been able to identify three steps in this session: defining the impact, defining the activities and defining the outcomes. However activities come first as it includes the inputs and outputs before an outcome is made, followed by an impact. The outcome can be an intermediary most times.
    I have also learnt a lot from module 4 and i have learnt how to create a participant tracking form. i have also learnt about data management processes in module 5.

  • is risks and assumption include in same Colum

  • I do not see a question prompt to adequately reply to the discussion board.

  • Risks and assumptions are important for M&E plans. There may be unintended consequences resulting from inputs, outputs, and/or outcomes. If we can brainstorm risks and assumptions early on, we may also be able to measure them and determine if there truly are unintended outcomes, risks, and/or assumptions and find ways to mitigate them.

  • Risks and assumptions are those that can hinder the success of a project. that is an impact of a project. finding risks and assumptions can be done through conducting survey or other assessments on the
    direct beneficiaries or non direct beneficiaries.. there is need to have already set solutions of these risks in case they are met

  • Risks are unforeseen circumstances that can hinder in achieving a specific goal of a project.
    Assumption are those that you re not sure of that will also affect achieving project goal.
    however when making and M and E plan all these should be considered as they will help in making early solutions to the problems that you may face as you are caring out the project activities

  • this need to be specified to activities of a project unless that the project will not start because of no funding

  • Project risks may be planning-related or of an uncertain nature. For this reason, the follow-up plan must always take into account the need to properly plan project activities.

  • Risks:
    Risks are potential events or circumstances that could hinder the achievement of project objectives. They represent uncertainties that need to be managed to ensure project success. Risks in a LogFrame should be identified, assessed for their potential impact, and appropriate mitigation strategies should be developed.

    Assumptions:
    Assumptions are underlying conditions or factors that are taken for granted and influence the project's success

  • It is advisable for participants to sign the collection form themselves as anyone can put A for absent and P for present. Also when a participant is absent, a line can be drawn in the middle of that raw to prevent the participants to sign the the row when he/she is back.

  • Risks and Assumptions are important to keep in mind for the success of the project. They help eradicate biases and help explore things that might have been taken for granted. It is crucial that the risks and assumptions are linked to the inputs because they will influence the outputs and in-turn influence the outcomes. Specifically for risks, one can have a decent understand of the things that may go wrong and prepare for salvaging such potential scenarios. As for assumptions, one can get a chance to introspect and find out whether there are factors that were assumed to be true or positive without evidence to substantiate them.

  • I have a small doubt about the Impact. I have created a hypothetical project which will work with the Bulk Waste Generators i.e. the residential societies/campuses of the city Gurgaon, India to aware them about the importance of waste segregation and also how In-situ composting can be beneficial in reducing waste generation. For this, following is my log frame-

    IMPACT- Better waste management system
    OUTCOME- More aware people will start segregation of waste and will utilize In-situ composting
    OUTPUT:- 1) Awareness campaign will be conducted
    2) FlashMobs will be done
    INPUTS:-
    1) An awareness campaign will be done with the residents of societies on waste segregation and benefits of In-Situ Composting
    2) Flash Mobs on waste segregation and Rules of MCG

    I have some doubts here:-

    1. Did I set the right Impact for the project ? or should I say that my Impact will be that "people will start segregating waste and will utilize In-Situ Composting"?

    2. Since module mentions that skill enhancement is not an output, it is an outcome. Similarly, people get aware about the topic is not an output is an outcome? If so, then how will I say that after awareness generation, people have started doing the desired action i.e. waste segregation and use of In-Situ composting.

    I dont see a good flow in my log frame.

  • The risk and assumptions are very important. whatever you think might go wrong should be written no matter how small.

  • I love this course

  • Risks:

    • states and territories may not be interested in working on this issue
    • we may not raise as much funding as needed
    • political issues may arise that overshadow the focus of the project

    Assumptions:

    • states will be interested and want to devote time and resources to this project
    • states will follow instructions and have community members involved throughout
  • Identifying risks and assumptions during project implementation is important to map the risks and assumptions and join the Project Staff to think about the risks to make sure that all staff are aware of the impact of the risks on project success. also they will more value the inputs and take more responsibilities to guarantee the outcomes are achieved.

  • Risk and assumptions are extremely important as they help you identify the factors that may affect the success or failure of your project, and how to address them in your M&E design and data collection strategies

  • I am satisfied and I will invite my friends to join us to learn. Thanks to the pedagogical team for the efforts made and the opportunity to learn that they have offered us

  • I am satisfied and I will invite my friends to join us to learn. Thanks to the pedagogical team for the efforts made and the opportunity to learn that they have offered us. Before, I did not formulate the risks wel

  • he teaching method is fantastic, simple, clear and understandable.
    thank you for the effort

  • Risk in a project design and planning is potential challenges and uncertainties that could impact a project's success. some of the potential risk include technical challenges, uncertainties and human resource management. Assumptions are biases that project planners have which include their desired outcomes and impacts which are generally based on their perceptions

  • another risk is death and girls getting married

  • I think it is a great initiative to identify the possible risks related to the project we intend to deliver.
    The assumed risks will also shape our views towards the project, being critical, being cautious, and being prepared for unforeseen circumstances.

  • Indeed planning ahead of the project implementation about risks and assumption is a step towards achieving great results of a project. however, consider situations like pandemics such as Covid-19, if there MEH was to design this project just a few months before the start of the pandemic, i am pretty much certain that they would not have included it in risks but it happened anyway. so, how do project design process provide for such unplanned circumstances that despite the team anticipating some risks but others are left out?

  • It is a great module.
    I think for one to better fill the column of Risks and Assumptions, the project has to conduct research so they are informed otherwise our biases might get the best of us.

  • Assumptions are the conditions or factors that you expect to be true or present for your project to achieve its objectives, while Risks are the events or situations that may prevent or hinder your project from reaching its goals. During planning stage, all risks and assumptions have to listed and see how they can be tackle in case any of them arise in the course of project implementation.

  • Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) involves assessing and tracking projects, programs, or policies to determine their progress, effectiveness, and impact. In this context, risks and assumptions play crucial roles:

    Risks:

    Operational Risks: Challenges in implementing activities, such as resource constraints, technical issues, or unexpected events.
    External Risks: Factors beyond control, like economic changes, political instability, or natural disasters, that can affect the project's outcomes.
    Measurement Risks: Issues with data quality, reliability, or relevance, which can lead to inaccurate assessments.
    Bias and Interpretation Risks: Biases in data collection, analysis, or interpretation can distort results and conclusions.
    Ethical Risks: Unintended negative consequences on stakeholders or communities due to the project's activities.
    Assumptions:

    External Assumptions: Beliefs about external factors, like beneficiary behavior or market conditions, that impact the success of the project.
    Implementation Assumptions: Beliefs about how activities will be executed, such as assuming that a certain process will work as planned.
    Causality Assumptions: Beliefs about the cause-and-effect relationships between project interventions and outcomes.
    Contextual Assumptions: Assumptions about the socio-cultural, political, and economic context in which the project operates.
    Addressing these risks and assumptions requires a comprehensive approach:

    Identifying and documenting risks and assumptions during project planning.
    Regularly monitoring progress and adjusting strategies in response to changing conditions.
    Employing robust data collection methods and validation techniques to mitigate measurement risks.
    Encouraging transparency, involving stakeholders, and maintaining ethical standards.
    Conducting scenario planning to account for potential risks and testing assumptions.
    Ultimately, a well-structured M&E framework helps manage risks, validate assumptions, and improve decision-making throughout the project lifecycle.

  • Definition of Risk
    The term ‘risk’ has been defined in financial terms by Chen (2022) as the possibility of losing some or all of an original investment and the likelihood that an outcome or investment's actual gains will be different from an expected outcome or return.
    It has been further argued that risk means the probability of losing all or part of the profit or the principal, which may as well be considered as the fluctuation in return on investment (Rahnamaye Roudposhti & Eftekhari Aliabadi, 2011).
    Categorization of Risks
    The phenomenon is generally categorized into two types; (i) systematic risk and (ii) non-systematic risk. Systematic risk includes that part of total risk that is along with the market volatility and the investor is not able to lower its level like unexpected events, war, and sanction (Assadi, 2015). On the other hand, non-systematic risk includes that part of total risk which is related to the capital market volatility and the investor is able to lower it through careful management and stock selection (Rahnamaye Roudposhti & Eftekhari Aliabadi, 2011).
    Risk management is directly connected with achievements of the objectives of the corporation, economic unit, or project. From the study on risks and risk management, it has been understood that achieving objectives of a project are dependent on external events which are not controlled by an organization. Therefore, risk management may assure that the objectives of a corporation and the project are met.
    This also goes in line with assumptions.

  • I totally agree with you on the point that risks are out of our control. however, there is a component in project management referred to as risk mapping and analysis. it is a great way of trying to establish the possible risks that a project may encounter

  • That is well elaborated post on risks. May i also add that it has been indicated by Assadi (2015) that risk management includes eight related components which are derived from the way management manages an institution and are consistent with management process. The components are internal environment, objective setting, identification of events, evaluation of risk, reaction to risk, control measures, information and communication, and monitoring.

  • Identifying risks and making assumptions during M&E planning plays a critical role in predicting future events and making timely decisions. By thoroughly assessing potential risks, we can proactively develop strategies to mitigate them, ensuring a smoother implementation of the plan. Additionally, making assumptions enables us to consider various scenarios and weigh their potential impacts on the plan. In essence, giving due importance to risk identification and assumption-making significantly enhances the effectiveness and efficiency of M&E planning.

  • These elements can impact the effectiveness of projects or programs. Exploring how to systematically assess potential risks, acknowledge assumptions, and develop contingency plans can enhance the reliability of M&E outcomes. Additionally, considering how external factors and uncertainties might influence data collection and analysis is crucial for producing accurate and actionable insights.

  • Risks and assumptions these are ideas that we have towards our project without proper evidence. A good example will be assuming that young women will start businesses once given micro loans , which gives us a risk what if the young women don't upgrade or start their businesses. A good M and E log frame helps us to identify risks and assumptions so that we can plan ahead of time and make the goals of our project successful.

  • At the end of this Submodule, I have Understand the influence of risks and assumption in Monitoring And Evaluation plans. It helps in recognizing the outcomes from the beginning of the project.

  • It is well. I am new here. 🥰

  • Identifying risks and assumptions serves to assess whether the Goals and Activities proposed are realistic and achievable in the given time frame and within the given available human and financial resources.
    In this context, a risk is defined as an uncertain threat that, in case of occurring, could have a negative impact in the completion of the Goal or Activity. An assumption, on the other side, is the necessary condition that will enable the successful completion of the Goal or Activity.
    In order to avoid repetition and redundancy, risks and assumptions should be defined at two levels: general and specific level.

    General risks and assumptions can be either related to the overall implementation of the Roadmap or common to all Goals included in the Roadmap. Specific risks and assumptions will be related to a concrete Activity, i.e. a particular risk that could hinder the successful implementation of a concrete Activity or an assumption that is key to the implementation of a specific Activity. For instance, a specific assumption for the Activity "establishing an Authorised Economic Operators Scheme" is that incentives granted to AEOs are enough to motivate private traders to invest in the time and resources to get the certification.

    If described negatively, an assumption can become a risk. On the contrary, if defined in positive terms, a risk can be transformed into an assumption. Thus, it is very important to pay attention to redundancy.
    Assumptions that were considered in the form of risks do not need to be noted again and vice-versa. Similarly, risks and assumptions that were defined at general level, do not need to be mentioned again at specific level. If resistance to change is a major risk for the overall completion of the Roadmap's Goals, it would be also risk for the different Activities considered.

  • Fournit-on suffisamment d’intrants?

  • comment resoudre ces risques

  • Risks: these are things that might hinder the success of the project. E.g. MEH giving loans to the girls who use the money for other things instead of starting a business.
    Assumptions: these are what we think the situation will be like. E.g. MEH assumes that the girls will want the loans and that they will use the loans to better their lives

  • I cannot see the question or prompt

  • Risk and Assumptions is a clear way of making sure the project is successful. This is because issues that may arise at each project phase is projected and possible solution is put in place to ensure the project phase is not hindered.

  • It is important to understand the risks and assumptions during project design, as this will enable project implementers assess whether a n identified risk poses a major threat to the effective implementation of the project and if so, interventions measures are proposed. on the other hand, if the identified risk or assumptions are not posing a major threat they can be tolerated.
    Another factor supporting why risks are to be understood, its because it helps us appreciate events and conditions which are foreseable that might affect implementation and thereby, giving enough time for interventions to be proposed and decisions made timely.
    It further, brings the implementers and beneficiaries together in the identification of the risks and assumptions, thereby, earning the support of the beneficiaries as they feel the sense of ownership of the project.
    It is also important to identify the project risks and assumptions as it will bring out evidence based interventions thereby, removing the biases of the project implementers.
    It is further, understood that the logframes are living documents and should be tested and reviewed as and when the conditions in the project change and adjustments can be made for effective implementation of the project.

  • I think Risk and assumption is a important part in a logical frame work. If we identify the possible risk and assumption In a designing period of log frame, it will help us to implement our activities smoothly and achieved the result as per our desired goals.

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