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What if your assumption were wrong.
Some of risks are life threatening. For example an insecure place.

Assumption can be described as the situation, events, conditions which are necessary for the progress of the projects and they can be sometimes incorrect. While Risk are the things that are widely out of our controls and can disrupt the plan and also have negative effect on the project

risks and assumptions ;allow one to make plan against unforeseen circumstance that might affect the implementation of your programmes. therefore, its very important to include it in project

how do you cope in countries that are economically unstable ?

this module provide us good solutions and ways to handle with risks and assumptions that our project may face.

As far as i understood. Risk would be mainly be the probability of it happening and, either positive or negative impact it might have on the actual project at hand.

In addition, assumptions on the other hand are possible factors for planning purposes, that are considered to be real or true without proof or any form of demonstration. Moreover, because assumption is a statement that assumet to be true, it is vital to consider, with the absence of assumption on certain things, planning would not be possible. This is because we do not know how the future looks like.

Unrealistic Targets would those that do not take into account, the amount of budget available and, the stakeolder targets. Moreover, these would be targets that are difficult to achieve based on the level they are set.

risk and assumptions

Good good good

Good good good

The money for buying the ICT gadgets not enough
The trainers are not present
The location of the facility not favorable to the youth

Anybody ascertained risks and assumptions for their m&e plan?

Anybody ascertained risks and assumptions for their m&e plan?

There are categories of risks that could be controlled depending on whether they are low, medium or high. At what phase of the project can one identify and control risks?

Greetings,
In my understanding, a risk is an unanticipated situation that might occur that exposes the project to failure.
An assumption is a situation or result accepted as true or certain to happen without proof. Examples are
Impact: Sustainable agriculture in Turkana county.
Output: Agriculture in Turkana County does well where there is improved production, income and livelihood of the residents.
Outcome: Boreholes are dug and Irrigation systems are put in place.
Input: Funds.
An example of an assumption is that the residents of Turkana will embrace agriculture. The turkana people are traditionally pastoralists. they may be adamant to do farming.
An example of a risk is that the pastoralists may feed their animals on the agricultural crops being produced incase of a drought since the area is an arid and semi arid area.

We can see that it is probably unavoidable, don't fine risk and assumptions, but it is also important to take them into account because of thinking about these risks and assumptions we can avoid some problems.

I identifying Risks during M & E is like planning a defense mechanism even before the enemy attacks.

same here, high five

In a project where an organization would want to reduce maternal and child morbidity and mortality by improving sanitation, there are several activities that the organization has to carry out under input and output levels of the logical framework. Such activities may include provision of money and manpower that will help in construction of improved pit-latrines in the community as an output. In a long run this will lead to reduced diarrhoeral diseases hence reduced maternal and child mortality and morbidity due to such illnesses. Nevertheless, before kick-starting such kind of the project, there is a need to look at the possible risks and assumptions that might lead to not achieving the desired goals. These risks can be addressed at each level of the logical framework from the input level to the impact level. This will help decision makers to devise ways that will help to mitigate the risks and achieve the desired goals.

THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT BECAUSE IT WILL DETERMINE THE SUCCESS OF THE PROJECT

Risk and assumptions are important factors that need to be carefully considered during project design. Identifying and taking note of risks that may scuttle project outcomes and impact and monitoring those risks will help in timely detection and course correction.
Assumptions on the other hand are our biases that can be true or otherwise. Evidence is the best way to overcome and control bias.

Risks and assumptions are critical in decision making. Risks are unforeseen circumstances, and must be put into consideration when designing a project. M&E expert should always consider risks and assumptions during the design, and when the project is being carried out. The goal of the project is key, and it is always fascinating, but there are usually risks involved.

DISCUSSIONS ON RISKS AND ASSUMPTIONS IN PROJECT M&E

Risks are the unseen uncertainties in any endeavor taken in order to achieve a certain objective/s or goals.
Risks are innate in every project idea to be implemented and achieved. How to reduce or mitigate its impacts otherwise the three-legged stool of quality, budget and time will be compromised when it is to be keenly observed.
The implementers and the high impact stakeholders should be able to raise assumptions which might translate to risks. Risks registers are highly recommended, available to every stakeholder in the project.
Therefore, before and during every project cycle, the stakeholders are called upon to keenly analyze the progression of the project with analysis of how to deal with the projected risks and assumptions, also any arising of the same.

In M&E, the plan will outline how the project is to be carried out. That would be in a form of a Theory of Change (High Level Project Plan) + Logic Model (LM)/ Log Frame (Detailed Project Inputs, Activities, Output, Outcome & Impact) You can include your short, medium and long term goals within the components, depending on the scope of the project.

With all the M&E proper planning, one would argue that, not all what we plan is what will happen due to unforseen circumstances that we have no control over. We can plan to go to the Villages and collect data tommorrow and we wake up to a bad storm. That is something that we did not know will happen. We can even assume that all the participants will be at the venue ready for us if it was not a bad weather day.

In M&E, the plan will outline how the project is to be carried out. That would be in a form of a Theory of Change (High Level Project Plan) + Logic Model (LM)/ Log Frame (Detailed Project Inputs, Activities, Output, Outcome & Impact) You can include your short, medium and long term goals within the components, depending on the scope of the project.

With all the M&E proper planning, one would argue that, not all what we plan is what will happen due to unforseen circumstances that we have no control over. We can plan to go to the Villages and collect data tommorrow and we wake up to a bad storm. That is something that we did not know will happen. We can even assume that all the participants will be at the venue ready for us if it was not a bad weather day.

I like the broadening of the risks that it can have a positive or negative effects on it.

True, risks if not well documented will have an effect on project performance. a flow is needed when implementing the project, step by step. Kudos.

M&E is very important for the proper functining of a project

That is factual that risks must be tallied.

Would like to read more.

@symahirwe said in Module 2 Discussion: Risks and Assumptions:

In this context, a risk is defined as an uncertain threat that, in case of occurring, could have a negative impact in the completion of the Goal or Activity. An assumption, on the other side, is the necessary condition that will enable the successful completion of the Goal or Activity.

The risk is uncertain, which not only have an adverse effects on the project goal/s but also positive effects.

These are the obvious negative impacts assumed against the impact of the project.

Risks are things that are of the company's control and might disrupt its plan for example a risk of in Girls Union project where children will be bought all necessay school uniforms and nourishment to go to boarding school, the risk is do these childeren want to continue their education? ,Will funders offer money on time for school?
Assumption is the necessary condition that you believe will enable the succesful completion of the goal even without evidence. For example in Girls union With proper provision of school uniform and nourishment all children will go to school and excel academically.

These are the obvious negative impacts assumed against the impact of the project.

These are the obvious negative impacts assumed against the impact of the project.

These are the obvious negative impacts assumed against the impact of the project.

bonjour à tous et à toutes

bonjour à tous et à toutes

Risks are Factors out side from my contlol that could cause my project to go badly.

Assumptions are things that I can believe but are not supported by evidence. Example

Risk is the uncertainty that the project will bring positive results. And assumptions is something you take as true.

Hi all, anyone here?

Risks and assumptions should be properly examined because the failure or success of a project depends squarely on them. Any misrepresentation of the risks and assumptions will lead to unexpected events that the implementation team will not be prepared to deal with

I am very happy to be part of this project; here is my log frame of the project:
Logframe-own-project.docx

risk and assumption to my surprise turn to be one of the most important in log frame design and successful project execution since one need to know the challenge that will affect his or her under taking and then work in resolving them

so for the success of log frame one need to document both risk and assumption to avoid surprises challenges during implementation of the project

• project summary is an important column in the log frame as it describes the activities of the project in a logical flow.

Risks and Asumptions are also what to consider in a log frame, it helps to recognise our biases.

Why it is important to plan for risks and assumptions ahead of time is so that
you can understand events and conditions that are unforeseeable
that might affect your implementation, therefore giving you enough time to make
decisions at the right time.
We tested for our assumptions and risks within our
logframe by looking at our past events and seeing out of those activities we
had implemented some of the common assumptions and risks.
Then we go
through our beneficiaries and ask them what would be some of the assumptions
that we had put along whether they fitted and finally we looked at the list
of activities that we did and listed some of our assumptions.
A common
assumption that we had is that Nigeria will have a new government by next May year. Unfortunately this didn't go on because there was prolonged
electioneering process and brought a repeat of elections.
Out of this it meant
that we could not implement our project. We created a subgroup that included
our beneficiaries into a WhatsApp platform and they could inform us about the risks that are on the ground
and we could plan appropriately.
We also adjusted our work plan and our targets.

Quelle est la différence entre risque et hypothèse dans le cadre d'une évaluation de projet/programme

Risk is anything that we can predict or not, and that can negatively affect our results. And assumptions are things we anticipate and accept, although they cannot be accepted as fact for lack of evidence.

There is a challenge when making assumptions and not managing risk.

• list itemBrian

I agree with your post

Risks and assumptions..false data..project won't be going in right direction

how to set up a good database?

Why it is important to plan for risks and assumptions ahead of time is so that
you can understand events and conditions that are unforeseeable
that might affect your implementation, therefore giving you enough time to make
decisions at the right time.
We tested for our assumptions and risks within our
logframe by looking at our past events and seeing out of those activities we
had implemented some of the common assumptions and risks.
Then we go
through our beneficiaries and ask them what would be some of the assumptions
that we had put along whether they fitted and finally we looked at the list
of activities that we did and listed some of our assumptions.
Changes in governmental policies like changes during election period, newly elected will like to make new policy.
Out of this it meant
that we could not implement our project. We created a subgroup that included
our beneficiaries and they could inform us about the risks that are on the ground
and we could plan appropriately.
We also adjusted our work plan and our targets.

There is a challenge when making assumptions and not managing risk.

There is a challenge when making assumptions and not managing risk.

There is a challenge when making assumptions and not managing risk.

There is a challenge when making assumptions and not managing risk.

good, good, good

T the impact level is there a way of mitigating risks?

To try and answer the question what stage risk can be controlled, i think at every stage it is important to assess risks involved and have contingency plans that can help minimise the risks involved.

Я в восторге от теории изменений в социальном воздействии, которая существует между правительством, координатором структуры, предоставлением услуг, достижением результата и оплатой успеха.

Risks are external influences that can disrupt your plan while assumptions are biases you make when making decisions especially believes you have evident

The Risks and Assumptions help us to think ahead to the possible pitfall or set backs that may derail a project from success. We can check the logical flow by posing the if/then questions to our logframe.

What if the risks and assumptions made are true for example if girls don't know how to start businesses, what next is done?
do you first train them on how to start businesses? and if so it calls for more funding, where do you get the extra funds to facilitate the training of girls on how to start businesses?

What if the risks and assumptions made are true for example if girls don't know how to start businesses, what next is done?
do you first train them on how to start businesses? and if so it calls for more funding, where do you get the extra funds to facilitate the training of girls on how to start businesses?

What if the risks and assumptions made are true for example if girls don't know how to start businesses, what next is done?
do you first train them on how to start businesses? and if so it calls for more funding, where do you get the extra funds to facilitate the training of girls on how to start businesses?

RISK AND ASSUMPTIONS
It enable any project executor to identify the impending problems associated with such project and proffer solutions to them before he executes the project and achieve a goal.

Risk and assumption is a very impart part of any project plan. You cannot get the best of any activity of you don't plan for unforseen circumstances.
Risk and assumption helps get the project prepared for sudden eventualities. It helps the team re- strategize when it looks as if the project might fail. And also helps manage any hurt that may come up because everyone one was prepared before time.

Risk and assumption are bound to affect project of an organization,it is therefore import to analyse the possible outcomes of such risks before implementing the project.A well documented logframe should indicate possible risk that are likely to affect the progress.Enough time should be spent on evaluating this risks. Assumption are related to the personal bias on the project design.They should not be ignored.On the logframe its wise to indicate the possible biases that are likely to affect the progress of the project.

Risk and assumption are bound to affect project of an organization,it is therefore import to analyse the possible outcomes of such risks before implementing the project.A well documented logframe should indicate possible risk that are likely to affect the progress.Enough time should be spent on evaluating this risks. Assumption are related to the personal bias on the project design.They should not be ignored.On the logframe its wise to indicate the possible biases that are likely to affect the progress of the project.

Risks are considered to be factors of your control that could cause your project to go poorly. For instance, participants may not be able to get to the workshop and the organisation funds may be taken by the government entities.

Assumptions are things you believe but that are not supported by evidence. For instance, participants

This course has really opened my mind to so much in planning for a project as a whole.
With respect to risk and assumption, what happens to the risk that an organization can’t find a solution to. Does it mean they leave the project totally???

Risks and assumptions are all very important
i did not see this coming in till i started reading and taking this course. most of the risk in my project are somewhat managed but it was done ignorantly.
It is always good to prepare for this part because to me issue it as the main determinate in any project. Once the risk and assumptions are ignored, there is a high possibility of the project failing or having breaks just to formulate this aspect.
Apart from the assumptions and risk questions put forward in the course I was also able to make my own assumptions. Some risk I identified in the outcome was: what if the girls do not know how to create new businesses and upgrade already existing equipment. As far as the output is concerned, I imagine what if the girls turned down the offers of Micro loans. And with respect to the impact; what if the socio-cultural environment of the area does not allow girls to own businesses yet? or better still what if most girls in te are are not yet of an independent agae to start making their own money.

this is also one of my worries. it depends on the gravity of the risk, i think. The project should not be abandoned; in this case I think the log Frame can be revised.

Risks and assumptions are an important component of the project design. It helps anticipate factors that would offset the perfectly defined impacts of a given project. As it was defined, risks are factors that are out of our control that would distort project results while assumptions are biases we hold that are not supported by evidence. Thus accounting for these risks and assumptions would influence the decision making process thus making the project implementation more efficient.

hello,
My name is Mutoro Innocent Mwichuma. I am so impressed by the material provided in this module. i am now confident in designing a complete and successful LogFrame.
my Question:
in the event that i fail to respond to the risks that i have identified in my project, what will be the impact of it on my overall results?

RISKS are things outside your control that might disrupt your plan e.g. unforeseen circumstances that might disrupt your plan.
ASSUMPTIONS are things you believe without much evidence i.e. Biases (believing that your project will not succeed before starting it.

In this context, a risk is defined as an uncertain threat that, in case of occurring, could have a negative impact in the completion of the Goal or Activity. An assumption, on the other side, is the necessary condition that will enable the successful completion of the Goal or Activity.

Assumptions are external factors for which the intervention is not responsible, but that are very important for the realization of the results, the project purpose and the overall objective. They are outside direct intervention control, but vital for achieving a successful implementation.

Within the log frame context, risks and assumptions are two sides of the same coin: risks are framed as potential negatives, while assumptions are framed positively.

This has been an eye opener

I believe they is need to know what is the major impact for the laon

Exactly what I thought too, for both to work

I am unclear how this discussion post works so am just going and writing down some thoughts.

Module 2 has provided a good general overview of the log frame and reminded me of the importance of going back to the basics and testing assumptions. It is sometimes very easy to become "passionate" about a cause and rush in to try and solve an issue without fully considering whether we will actually resolve the situation/have an impact. So much time and resources could be better directed if we take the time to do the research and understand the situation.

When we are writting a project, we should think about all risks that it can have, for example, risks in the inputs and output and know how to solve them.

We will also could have unexpectated outcomes and we will need to understand and deal with them either.

To deal with risks we must have a deep understanding of our problem and knows what previous studies says about it.

Risks and assumptions are an important component of the project design. It helps anticipate factors that would offset the perfectly defined impacts of a given project. As it was defined, risks are factors that are out of our control that would distort project results while assumptions are biases we hold that are not supported by evidence. Thus accounting for these risks and assumptions would influence the decision making process thus making the project implementation more efficient.

RISKS AND ASSUMPTIONS were articulated, i Understand

In designing a project, I have come to a realisation that risks and assumptions can be minimised when you include the targeted group in the project design. Where you get to learn from them and what exactly they want. This would minimise assumptions alot. For example, with the MEH project, we would eliminate the assumption that the girls do not want microloans if we get to sit with them and hear from them what they really want. That will make our logframe have more realistic activities and information as opposed to not engaging with the targeted group. I also believe that it is one of the reasons why some projects are not sustainable.

This has been quite an informative module in learning about project design. Also, risks and assumptions can literally bring down or drag a project to take long so that needs to be considered before project implementation.

What if my assumptions are right?

Risks are the aspects that happen in the course of the project unexpectedly or assumed to not happen. Assumptions are those aspects during a project are only believed that they will occur or not..thus no data availed to back the occurence or non-occurence of the events.

For me, this unit is the core of the evaluation and monitoring process

For me, this unit is the core of the evaluation and monitoring process

Risks are the aspects that happen in the course of the project unexpectedly or assumed to not happen. Assumptions are those aspects during a project are only believed that they will occur or not..thus no data availed to back the occurence or non-occurence of the events.

This has been quite an informative module in learning about project design. Also, risks and assumptions can literally bring down or drag a project to take long so that needs to be considered before project implementation.

Understanding the nature of societies from a social and cultural point of view is key to the data collection process

In this context, a risks is an uncertain threat that, in case of occurring, could have a negative impact in the completion of a project goals.
While, assumptions on the other hand is the necessary conditions that will enable the successfully completion of the project.

Hello!
I'm Gildas

Risks are the things outside of your control that go your project poor quality. While, assumptions are the believe without evidence.

Risks and assumptions are external factors over which the project has little control, but which may impact project activities and results. The factors are often connected to events, contexts, and/or community beliefs. Hence, there's no project void of risks and assumptions.

Risks and assumptions are external factors over which the project has little control, but which may impact project activities and results. The factors are often connected to events, contexts, and/or community beliefs.